Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 5.924488 6.506321 7.147116 7.910260 8.801060 9.816392 11.073438
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.248676 6.080295 7.074930 8.374686 10.063641 12.237414 15.342298
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.758463 5.700946 6.889766 8.544120 10.865581 14.144412 19.417411
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.293712 5.263499 6.532714 8.380412 11.126250 15.297735 22.707563
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.974511 4.966900 6.307046 8.336271 11.511814 16.678087 26.811646
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.671851 4.656577 6.018899 8.146634 11.618665 17.602018 30.419869
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.461769 4.451954 5.853981 8.111130 11.952196 18.978948 35.559212
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.279086 4.268750 5.698928 8.064730 12.248534 20.348195 41.406943
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.182212 4.199823 5.704803 8.273536 13.027582 22.893269 52.020472
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.989929 3.975726 5.452332 8.017097 12.888503 23.419750 57.086106
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.812558 3.763018 5.201764 7.737538 12.660835 23.687918 61.571489
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.678910 3.608654 5.032539 7.583405 12.660720 24.508641 68.927675
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.559984 3.479080 4.908270 7.524488 12.909028 26.207076 82.913154
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.539689 3.502474 5.038220 7.954601 14.318109 31.751993 128.562053
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.471512 3.444648 5.025907 8.111497 15.151311 36.119548 185.199768
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.358935 3.308141 4.867424 7.959898 15.209733 37.978033 231.264750
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.273519 3.210725 4.769478 7.919003 15.540514 41.056615 316.914360
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.174783 3.086029 4.614566 7.743222 15.485463 42.640910 401.252269
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.104445 3.004736 4.531660 7.710296 15.813248 46.105981 595.895569
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.037856 2.926225 4.448344 7.667257 16.106841 49.698011 941.866227
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.007407 2.906937 4.471808 7.860868 17.140690 58.017882 2638.984694
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.923555 2.792476 4.310944 7.623065 16.812959 58.615304 3954.332657
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.841950 2.678859 4.146199 7.363511 16.377488 58.374623 5638.830969